Yardbarker
MLB betting: Can Kyle Harrison hit the Over on K's vs. Dodgers?
San Francisco Giants starting pitcher Kyle Harrison (45). D. Ross Cameron-USA TODAY Sports

MLB betting: Can Kyle Harrison hit the Over on K's vs. Dodgers?

The San Francisco Giants have shown promise in the start of their 2024 campaign, and they have a chance to end their season-opening roadie with a win against the Los Angeles Dodgers — which, of course, is setting up some very interesting bets at sportsbooks everywhere.

The Southern California contingent has had the upper hand against their Bay Area rivals through the first to games of the series, routing SF 8-3 in the first game and then holding on for a 5-4 win in the second. Given what we already know, DraftKings is favoring Giants starter Kyle Harrison to throw under 5.5 strikeouts for a -160 payout when he makes his career debut against the Giants' biggest rivals on Wednesday.

But don't give the Dodgers too much credit so fast. San Francisco's top pitching prospect is no slouch. And with over 5.5 strikeouts being priced modestly at +130, here are some reasons Harrison could actually hit the Over when he takes the mound.

The 22-year-old southpaw impressed when he was called up to the big club at the end of the 2023 season, and he has already followed that up with an impressive 2024 debut. Harrison earned the Giants their first win of the season as he struck out five and only allowed two runs on six hits and didn't issue any walks through six innings. Since he was able to do that against a power-hitting team like the San Diego Padres, there is reason to believe he could be just as solid — if not better — against a stacked Dodgers lineup.

Even with two wins already in the series, Dodgers hitters are striking out at the plate. Logan Webb struck out five in his start against LA on Tuesday, while the Giants bullpen K'd another six batters. In fact, every hitter in LA's lineup struck out at least once in that game with the exception of Freddie Freeman. That was against Webb, who is a righty, and the Dodgers have managed fewer hits against left-handed pitching so far this season.

This suggests that Harrison's chances of hitting the Over on strikeouts is more likely than his odds entail.

Giants beat writer Susan Slusser recently wrote for the San Francisco Chronicle that the rookie is working on his longevity in games, however he is solid through the first three innings.

"Harrison has very been good his first time through the order, when opponents hit .239 off him, with a 24-to-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio ," Slusser said. "His second time through, he has held opponents to a .233 average and cut his home runs allowed from 5 to 2. In limited opportunities, his third time through, he has gotten 20 of 28 batters out and held them to a .200 average — but given up three home runs."

With Harrison also being better about giving up the long ball as his career progresses, his chances of getting more strikeouts only look better. 

Sure, the Dodgers hitters have gotten the better of the Giants pitching through the first two games of this early-season series. However, they will be going up against a rookie pitcher in Kyle Harrison that is living up to the hype by sending batters back to the dugout. Given how well he through in his season debut, there is plenty of reason to think he can strikeout over 5.5 in his first game against L.A. 

More must-reads:

Sign up for the Bark Bets Newsletter

Bark Bets is Yardbarker's free daily guide to the world of sports betting. You'll get:

  • Picks and predictions from our in-house experts
  • The last-minute updates that give you an edge
  • Special offers from Sportsbooks

Subscribe now!

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.